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- Артур Конан Дойл
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“
This
is
unworthy
of
you
,
Holmes
,
”
I
said
.
“
I
could
not
have
believed
that
you
would
have
descended
to
this
.
You
have
made
inquires
into
the
history
of
my
unhappy
brother
,
and
you
now
pretend
to
deduce
this
knowledge
in
some
fanciful
way
.
You
cannot
expect
me
to
believe
that
you
have
read
all
this
from
his
old
watch
!
It
is
unkind
,
and
,
to
speak
plainly
,
has
a
touch
of
charlatanism
in
it
.
”
“
My
dear
doctor
,
”
said
he
,
kindly
,
“
pray
accept
my
apologies
.
Viewing
the
matter
as
an
abstract
problem
,
I
had
forgotten
how
personal
and
painful
a
thing
it
might
be
to
you
.
I
assure
you
,
however
,
that
I
never
even
knew
that
you
had
a
brother
until
you
handed
me
the
watch
.
”
“
Then
how
in
the
name
of
all
that
is
wonderful
did
you
get
these
facts
?
They
are
absolutely
correct
in
every
particular
.
”
“
Ah
,
that
is
good
luck
.
I
could
only
say
what
was
the
balance
of
probability
.
I
did
not
at
all
expect
to
be
so
accurate
.
”
“
But
it
was
not
mere
guess
-
work
?
”
“
No
,
no
:
I
never
guess
.
It
is
a
shocking
habit
,
—
destructive
to
the
logical
faculty
.
What
seems
strange
to
you
is
only
so
because
you
do
not
follow
my
train
of
thought
or
observe
the
small
facts
upon
which
large
inferences
may
depend
.
For
example
,
I
began
by
stating
that
your
brother
was
careless
.
When
you
observe
the
lower
part
of
that
watch
-
case
you
notice
that
it
is
not
only
dinted
in
two
places
,
but
it
is
cut
and
marked
all
over
from
the
habit
of
keeping
other
hard
objects
,
such
as
coins
or
keys
,
in
the
same
pocket
.
Surely
it
is
no
great
feat
to
assume
that
a
man
who
treats
a
fifty
-
guinea
watch
so
cavalierly
must
be
a
careless
man
.
Neither
is
it
a
very
far
-
fetched
inference
that
a
man
who
inherits
one
article
of
such
value
is
pretty
well
provided
for
in
other
respects
.
”
I
nodded
,
to
show
that
I
followed
his
reasoning
.
“
It
is
very
customary
for
pawnbrokers
in
England
,
when
they
take
a
watch
,
to
scratch
the
number
of
the
ticket
with
a
pin
-
point
upon
the
inside
of
the
case
.
It
is
more
handy
than
a
label
,
as
there
is
no
risk
of
the
number
being
lost
or
transposed
.
There
are
no
less
than
four
such
numbers
visible
to
my
lens
on
the
inside
of
this
case
.
Inference
,
—
that
your
brother
was
often
at
low
water
.
Secondary
inference
,
—
that
he
had
occasional
bursts
of
prosperity
,
or
he
could
not
have
redeemed
the
pledge
.
Finally
,
I
ask
you
to
look
at
the
inner
plate
,
which
contains
the
key
-
hole
.
Look
at
the
thousands
of
scratches
all
round
the
hole
,
—
marks
where
the
key
has
slipped
.
What
sober
man
’
s
key
could
have
scored
those
grooves
?
But
you
will
never
see
a
drunkard
’
s
watch
without
them
.
He
winds
it
at
night
,
and
he
leaves
these
traces
of
his
unsteady
hand
.
Where
is
the
mystery
in
all
this
?
”
“
It
is
as
clear
as
daylight
,
”
I
answered
.
“
I
regret
the
injustice
which
I
did
you
.
I
should
have
had
more
faith
in
your
marvellous
faculty
