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Poirot
went
on
calmly
,
unperturbed
by
the
interruption
.
"
We
have
before
us
three
possibilities
:
"
One
:
That
the
crime
was
committed
,
as
you
say
,
at
a
quarter
past
one
.
This
is
supported
by
the
evidence
of
the
German
woman
,
Hildegarde
Schmidt
.
It
agrees
with
the
evidence
of
Dr.
Constantine
.
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"
Possibility
two
:
The
crime
was
committed
later
and
the
evidence
of
the
watch
was
deliberately
faked
.
"
Possibility
three
:
The
crime
was
committed
earlier
and
the
evidence
faked
for
the
same
reason
as
above
.
"
Now
,
if
we
accept
possibility
one
as
the
most
likely
to
have
occurred
and
the
one
supported
by
most
evidence
,
we
must
also
accept
certain
facts
arising
from
it
.
To
begin
with
,
if
the
crime
was
committed
at
a
quarter
past
one
,
the
murderer
can
not
have
left
the
train
,
and
the
question
arises
:
Where
is
he
?
And
who
is
he
?
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"
To
begin
with
,
let
us
examine
the
evidence
carefully
.
We
first
hear
of
the
existence
of
this
man
--
the
small
dark
man
with
a
womanish
voice
--
from
the
man
Hardman
.
He
says
that
Ratchett
told
him
of
this
person
and
employed
him
to
watch
out
for
the
man
.
There
is
no
evidence
to
support
this
--
we
have
only
Hardman
's
word
for
it
.
Let
us
next
examine
the
question
:
Is
Hardman
the
person
he
pretends
to
be
--
an
operative
of
a
New
York
Detective
Agency
?
"
What
to
my
mind
is
so
interesting
in
this
case
is
that
we
have
none
of
the
facilities
afforded
to
the
police
.
We
can
not
investigate
the
bona
fides
of
any
of
these
people
.
We
have
to
rely
solely
on
deduction
.
That
,
to
me
,
makes
the
matter
very
much
more
interesting
.
There
is
no
routine
work
.
It
is
a
matter
of
the
intellect
.
I
ask
myself
,
'
Can
we
accept
Hardman
's
account
of
himself
?
'
I
make
my
decision
and
I
answer
,
'
Yes
.
'
I
am
of
the
opinion
that
we
can
accept
Hardman
's
account
of
himself
.
"
"
You
rely
on
the
intuition
--
what
the
Americans
call
the
hunch
?
"
said
Dr.
Constantine
.